Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.035296 0.040940 0.047203 0.054671 0.063335 0.073077 0.084867
2025-12-28 0.026928 0.034425 0.043587 0.055616 0.071013 0.090090 0.115567
2026-01-04 0.021696 0.029877 0.040639 0.055854 0.076854 0.104888 0.145282
2026-01-11 0.018144 0.026554 0.038306 0.055959 0.081882 0.118683 0.175137
2026-01-18 0.015744 0.024282 0.036849 0.056744 0.087566 0.133711 0.208448
2026-01-25 0.014054 0.022712 0.036060 0.058201 0.094184 0.150678 0.246734
2026-02-01 0.012018 0.020256 0.033499 0.056415 0.095303 0.159038 0.272289
2026-02-08 0.010623 0.018615 0.031969 0.055998 0.098444 0.170841 0.304854
2026-02-15 0.009438 0.017150 0.030508 0.055436 0.101148 0.182075 0.337722
2026-02-22 0.008658 0.016279 0.029938 0.056322 0.106446 0.198367 0.381689
2026-03-01 0.007822 0.015189 0.028822 0.056027 0.109467 0.210787 0.419906
2026-03-08 0.006945 0.013903 0.027175 0.054489 0.109867 0.218228 0.449276
2026-03-15 0.006157 0.012706 0.025577 0.052892 0.110044 0.225449 0.479634
2026-03-22 0.005742 0.012206 0.025294 0.053917 0.115693 0.244359 0.536966
2026-03-29 0.005296 0.011584 0.024683 0.054171 0.119736 0.260420 0.590362
2026-04-05 0.004887 0.010987 0.024047 0.054277 0.123453 0.276205 0.645261
2026-04-12 0.004576 0.010564 0.023729 0.055039 0.128712 0.295993 0.712006
2026-04-19 0.004343 0.010289 0.023701 0.056452 0.135634 0.320374 0.792934
2026-04-26 0.003910 0.009495 0.022403 0.054720 0.134893 0.326836 0.831155
2026-05-03 0.003611 0.008982 0.021695 0.054317 0.137316 0.341121 0.890891
2026-05-10 0.003333 0.008485 0.020969 0.053771 0.139309 0.354581 0.950355
2026-05-17 0.003161 0.008233 0.020807 0.054630 0.144991 0.377989 1.039321
2026-05-24 0.002941 0.007833 0.020231 0.054345 0.147639 0.393915 1.110241